ATP Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters Predictions And Odds. Picks


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Jaume munar vs Federico Delbonis Delbonis seems a high price to win the first round contest at Monte Carlo Masters.

The Argentine has the highest ranking player, and has won two tour-level matches with Munar on clay. It’s 2-2 overall.

The market places too much emphasis on the Spaniard’s victory in the Marbella Challenger tournament. While he won two rounds of qualifying here, it was not surprising that the opponent level was low. There were two local wild cards and Oscar Otte who prefers a quicker surface.

Munar did not win back-toback matches at the South American Golden Swing. This is contrary to Delbonis who reached the semifinals in Buenos Aires, where he was stopped by eventual champion Casper Ruud.

Delbonis is far from nailed on but he’s certainly worth a bet at +230, while another option would be to back him to win a set at a shade of odds-on.

Emil Ruusuvuori and Cristian Garin Garin both had some success in Houston last week, where they made the final four.

However, he had to be in Texas Saturday night so he didn’t have much time to adapt to the different circumstances Monte Carlo offers – the clay is slower than in the US.

Garin will be looking tired after the trip across the Atlantic.

Ruusuvuori appears well-prepared to seize the opportunity.

He qualified over the weekend and was able to secure his place in the main draw. Therefore, it is important that he tunes in to the conditions.

The Finn enjoys the clay and could justify the faith of his backers at +116.

Albert Ramos–Vinolas will face Tallon Griekspoor Griekspoor, who may also be able to cause an upset in round one.

He loves clay, and won six titles in the Challenger Tour last year.

He’s transitioning to the main tour, and this seems like a great opportunity.

I’ve already mentioned that Ramos Vinolas’ greatest results were at high altitude, but that is not what he has on the Mediterranean coast.

After a loss in Marrakech’s first round, he is back at sea level, in a place where he has often struggled.

Yes, Ramos-Vinolas did make the final here in 2017 but take that run out of his record and the Spaniard is a poor 4-7 at the Monte Carlo Country Club.

It not, the most confident bet of the week but Griekspoor looks worth a small wager at +135.

Round Two Upsets?

The top eight seeded get byes, with world number one Novak Djokovic returning to action for only the sixth time in six weeks.

Given the possibility of ring rust I would not be surprised to see Alejandro Davidovich fokina maintain tight control, at least in the early stages, but his poor record against the Serb worries me. Although I am less worried about Stefanos Tsitsipas previous dominance over Fabio Fognini,

This is a big week for Tsitsipas who is yet to win a title in 2022 but is defending one in Monte Carlo.

His match with Fognini, if Arthur Rinderknech beats him in Monte Carlo, will be his first clay encounter since July. The former champion is a good clay player and should challenge Tsitsipas.

Fognini is a clay player who has made the semis at Rio this term.

Felix Auger-Aliassime may be under pressure against Lorenzo Musetti in the likely opener.

Musetti won a convincing win against Ramos Vinolas last week in Marrakech. He also reached the quarter-finals. His most recent FAA meeting was on the Lyon clay.

Auger-Aliassime’s shock loss to Alex Molcan in Marrakech last week continued a poor run of form, one which has now seen him lose four of his last five matches.

If the bookmakers continue to trust FAA too heavily, Musetti might be worth considering.

Best Outright Pick

Casper Ruud has been to the semi-finals of his last three Masters 1000 tournaments on clay, including in Monte Carlo last year.

This is the kind of form that puts him in the top ten on clay. After his run to the Miami Open finals, Ruud will be striving high as he tries to win the maiden Masters title.

The Norwegian posted some great stats on clay in 2021, particularly on serve, and having been handed a decent draw in the second quarter, he should go well.

Although the presence of Carlos Alcaraz and Djokovic in the first quarter is a bit awkward, both players look very short in the market for the outright.

Ruud could take advantage at +1000.

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