Best MLB Bets Today | MLB Picks, September 20


We have a packed baseball slate on Tuesday, with all 30 teams suiting up to take the field including one doubleheader.

There’s a lot of value in today’s MLB lineup. Check out these three top bets.

Boston Red Sox @ Cincinnati Reds

Time: 7: 40 p.m. ET Moneyline: Red Sox -120, Reds +100 Run Line: Red Sox -1.5 (+145), Reds +1.5 (-170) Total: Over 8.5 (-120), Under 8.5 (+100) Odds from DraftKings Sportsbook. Sign-up to get a $1,000 deposit bonus.

My pick: Under 8.5 (+100)

These are two rookie starting pitchers that I’m very high on. They both have amazing stuff.

After a rough start to the season Brayan Bello is now settling into his Major League rotational position. His last seven opponents have been held to three runs each and he has a pitching record of 2. 97 ERA and a 2. 92 FIP in the time period while striking out 10 batters per nine. Bello relies heavily on his changeup in order to get Whiffs. It’s worked well.

Nick Lodolo’s changeup is one of his best and has had one of the highest CSW rates in the league this year. His pitching has been exemplary, with a 2. 72 ERA over his last six starts, pitching six shutout innings twice.

Both offenses are struggling, so neither bullpen has been very impressive. Overall, this is a game I expect to be low scoring.

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Houston Astros @ Tampa Bay Rays

Time: 7: 40 p.m. ET Moneyline: Astros +115, Rays -140 Run Line: Astros +1.5 (+200), Rays -1.5 (+165) Total: Over 6 (-120), Under 6 (+100) Odds from BetMGM Sportsbook. Get a $1000 risk-free bet.

My pick: Tampa Bay Rays ML (-140)

This is purely a bet on Shane McClanahan. After a brief stint in the IL, he has returned to Toronto strong with five innings of three-hit baseball. Expect a dominant performance today.

It’s important to mention that the Astros won the AL West division yesterday, nine games ahead of the Yankees. They are now the #1 seed in the playoffs. The Astros may opt to mail the game in and instead choose to rest some starters.

Meanwhile, the Rays still compete for Wildcard seeding. They will win this game with their ace at the plate.

Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves

Time: 8: 20 p.m. ET Moneyline: Nationals +280, Braves -350 Run Line: Nationals +1.5 (+132), Braves -1.5 (-160) Total: Over 8.5 (-102), Under 8.5 (-120) Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook. Bet $5 and get $150 in free bets

My pick: Over 8.5 (-102)

These have been two of the best starting pitchers to fade this season.

Patrick Corbin is the most unqualified pitcher. His ERA is over 6. 10 while pitching almost 150 innings this season. The Nationals are 6-23 in his starts.

Charlie Morton is unable to force ground balls any more. This man, once called “Ground Chuck”, is now on track to record a career low ground-ball rate. His ERA is now above 4. 00 in the process.

You’re also getting two very hot offenses. Both the Braves and (surprisingly) the Nationals rank among the top-10 teams in wRC+ this month. Both have posted an OPS north of .775.

This game should be over.

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