Germany vs Spain Predictions
Germany Show They Are Still a Force to Be Reckoned With
Just before the Women’s Euro 2022 kicked off last week, Germany were the fifth-favorites behind Spain, England, France and the Netherlands. As they prepare to take on Spain in their second game of the tournament, they have leaped up to third place. The odds of a German triumph have shrunk from +800 to +500 in a matter of days. There is one very simple reason for that: Martina Voss-Tecklenburg’s side’s dominant display against Denmark last time out.
Germany were terrific in their opening encounter. Many people expected a close match with little to choose between the two teams expected to compete for second place in Group B. Instead, Germany blew the Danes away. They won 4-0 but the margin of victory could easily have been wider. Germany only found the back of the net once in the first half but created a stream of chances, and their control of the match continued after the break.
This was a statement win from a team that was perhaps underrated before the big kick-off. There was a feeling that Germany, the eight-time winners of this tournament, had been overtaken by some of their continental rivals. The Nationalelf exited both Euro 2017 and the 2019 World Cup at the quarter-final stage. There was less excitement around them this summer than the fresher faces of Sweden, Spain, the Netherlands and England.
Yet seasoned winners like Germany know better than anyone that it is far too early to get carried away. They topped their World Cup group ahead of Spain three years ago, only to lose to Sweden in the last eight. Denmark were surprisingly poor on matchday one, and Spain will pose a much sterner test on Tuesday. Yet after their showing against the Danes, Germany will no longer be overlooked as potential victors this summer.
Goal Difference Disadvantage Means Spain Will Go for Win
At the time of writing there has not yet been a shock result at the 13th edition of the European Women’s Championship, so the biggest surprise to date was Finland taking the lead against Spain after just 49 seconds of the game in Milton Keynes. The Spanish defense failed to deal with a hopeful pass forward and Finland forward Linda Sallstrom raced onto the loose ball and expertly guided her finish into the bottom corner.
Finland held the lead for 25 more minutes but they were always going to struggle to contain such gifted opponents. Spain went on to score some fabulous goals and win their opening game pretty comfortably. It is often said that you can tell a lot about a team by how they respond to adversity, and Jorge Vilda will have been pleased with his players’ reaction to that early setback.
Spain may have won their first match handsomely but a 4-1 victory means they are behind Germany on goal difference in the early Group B standings. That could be significant. The runners-up in this section will probably face England in the quarter-finals, a fate both Spain and Germany will be keen to avoid. The onus is therefore on Vilda’s side to seek victory on Tuesday, as a draw would leave the Germans in pole position to win the group.
Attacks Will Come Out on Top in What Should Be a Thriller
One of the main things to watch from a tactical perspective on Tuesday is whether Germany’s pressing is as effective against Spain as it was against Denmark. The Nationalelf continually forced turnovers of possession through their organized, efficient and collective closing-down high up the pitch. Denmark were in effect suffocated by their opponents and Germany will hope to do the same to Spain.
The eight-time champions will also draw confidence from the fact that Spain’s backline did not look completely secure against Finland. That was the main doubt over La Roja going into the tournament and Germany have the attackers to expose any defensive shortcomings.
At the same time, Spain will surely cause Germany more problems than Denmark did. It says plenty that Vilda’s women managed to find the back of the net four times even when they were not at their best.
We can expect more goals at the Brentford Community Stadium on Tuesday. Both teams are proactive and attack-minded, with quality forwards on both sides. Plus, as we demonstrated above, there is a clear incentive for Spain to seek all three points, and if they were to take the lead Germany would need to battle back. Go for both teams to score and over 2.5 goals in this one.
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How to Watch Germany vs Spain
Germany vs Spain Information Teams Germany vs Spain Location Brentford Community Stadium, London, England Time Tuesday, 12 July 2020, 3.00PM EST How to watch ESPN+