MLB Picks, September 23


Happy Friday, baseball bettors!

Get ready for the weekend by following our top three baseball picks from tonight’s MLB lineup.

Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees

Time: 8: 05 p.m. ET Moneyline: Red Sox +190, Yankees -208 Run Line: Red Sox +1.5 (-115), Yankees -1.5 (-100) Total: Over 8 (-105), Under 8 (-115) Odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Sign up to get up to $1,250 in free bets.

My pick: Boston Red Sox ML (+190)

It’s profitable to fade Gerrit Cole. The Yankees are 19-11 in Cole starts this season but for -2. 11 units of profit, giving us a -7% ROI.

Plus. It’s an excellent time to fade him.

First, the Yankees won the AL East with an extra innings win over Boston. Either Aaron Boone will be resting several starters or A) there are some hangovers at the clubhouse.

Second, Cole is a terrible pitcher against the Red Sox. He’s pitched 55 innings against Boston in a Yankee uniform with an ERA over 5. 00 while having allowed 12 home runs. Rafael Devers alone has made it deep six times.

The Red Sox are the inferior team with the inferior pitcher, but they provide value at +190 today.

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San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies

Time: 8: 10 p.m. ET Moneyline: Padres -165, Rockies +140 Run Line: Padres -1.5 (-105), Rockies +1.5 (-115) Total: Over 11.5 (-105), Under 11.5 (-115) Odds from BetMGM Sportsbook. Sign up today and get $1,000 Risk-Free bet.

My pick: San Diego Padres ML (-165)

The Padres are playing some of their best baseball at the best time. They’ve won five of their last six games by a combined score of 30-9. They have had a stellar pitching performance and their bats are on fire.

They now have to face Ryan Feltner who the Rockies are constantly forcing onto the big-league mound every five day. Feltner’s equipment is more intended for a role as a relief pitcher, but the Rockies don’t have any arms to rely upon. Despite a 6. 19 ERA.

I’ll take the Padres for another win.

St. Louis Cardinals @ Los Angeles Dodgers

Time: 10: 10 p.m. ET Moneyline: Cardinals +144, Dodgers -172 Run Line: Cardinals +1.5 (-138), Dodgers -1.5 (+116) Total: Over 8.5 (-110), Under 8.5 (-110) Odds from FanDuel Sportsbook.Bet $5 and get $150

My pick: St. Louis Cardinals ML (+144)

The Cardinals haven’t clinched the division yet. They still have to win a couple of games before the division is over.

This is an excellent spot to win against the Dodgers, who have already secured the top seed. They are just resting their players for October.

Moreover, the Cardinals are the best left-handed hitting team in baseball (per wRC+) while the Dodgers see about a 10% reduction in run production against southpaws. Jose Quintana (left-handed) and Andrew Heaney (right-handed) are our pitchers. The Cardinals offer good value for this number.

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