Led by the third and fourth-place finishers in the Queen’s Plate, a competitive field of seven is set for Tuesday’s 87th running of the Prince of Wales Stakes, the middle leg of the Canadian Triple Crown.
Sir for Sure, who won the Plate Trial before finishing third in the Queen’s Plate, has been made the 7/5 morning line favorite for the 1 3/16-mile test at Fort Erie.
The son of Sligo bay will make his debut on dirt following six years on all-weather surfaces. None of the Princes of Wales’ runners have raced on dirt in their careers.
Ironstone was one place behind Sir for Sure during the Canadian Triple Crown’s first leg. He is also right behind him at the 8:05 AM line.
A two-time stakes champion as a juvenile horse, Ironstone finished one spot behind Sir for Sure in the first leg of the Canadian Triple Crown and is right behind him on the morning line at 8/5.
Around two other competitors in the Queen’s Plate were Hunt Master and Duke Of Love.
The former was seventh, a longshot. However, the latter finished eighth as the fourth choice in the betting just three weeks back at Woodbine.
Prince of Wales Stakes Analysis
Race Analysis Third at the Queen’s Plate. This horse will probably be favored by that effort and a win in the Plate Trial two weeks back. I believe his Irish-bred sire is less likely than others to enjoy the move to dirt, unlike some of my colleagues.
Given his performance for Mark Casse as top trainer, it is clear that he poses a serious threat to the dirt. However, as the betting favourite, I do not see any value in him taking to dirt. He is going to be my opponent in the Canadian Triple Crown’s second leg.
This son of Mr Speaker turned in a bullet work over the Woodbine dirt training track last week and looks primed for his first try over the surface. He is the most classy horse in the field and has won eight stakes races consecutively without any poor performances.
He finished fourth in the Queen’s Plate after a steady pace. He has demonstrated the ability to battle hard down the stretch, given the speed of this field.
With his class’s controllable speed and sharp training on the new surface, it looks like he will be the horse they all need to beat Tuesday.
Duke Of Love This son of Cupid, will make his debut on dirt Tuesday. Although he has done well both on turf and at Woodbine’s all-weather track, his pedigree indicates that dirt is his preferred surface.
Although his Queen’s Plate result was not good, he ran enough solid races to show that he is a natural for this Prince of Wales group.
He also got a good workout out on the dirt 10 days ago. He is a fascinating candidate, and I intend to use him here in exotics.
Fast Foot This son of Tourist, who hails from the Casse stable, has run his best on turf in his career. Last year, he was the debut winner and finished second in Cup and Saucer Stakes.
His attempt on Woodbine’s all-weather track was less successful. He only made two attempts this year. His most recent attempt was better. He is dangerous in this area if he gets to the dirt. However, it is impossible to know if he will. I will take a pass.
Hunt Master This son from Hunters Bay does a few nice runs over the Woodbine dirt track. After being very competitive in six of his previous races, he finished in the middle in the final one.
His pedigree indicates that he would like to switch to dirt. With a smaller field on Tuesday, I anticipate him running a better race. Considering the 15/1 morning line, I believe he will offer excellent value. This is his pick to surprise the Prince of Wales.
After finally breaking his maiden in his fifth try, this son of Keen Ice came back to finish 11th against allowance horses last time out. Although the jump to Prince of Wales looks steep, the previous one was made against open-company horses.
He has also been working in the dirt and is able to breed for it. He is a possibility to step up into the exotics, but I like others better in this $400,000 test.
This son of Malibu Moon is the outsider of the field. He is still a maiden and hasn’t threatened maidens at Woodbine since finishing second to a very well-beaten debut. He is clearly a longshot, but maybe he will improve when he switches to dirt.
He has the experience and pedigree needed to understand the change in the surface, as well as a track record of good work at Fort Erie. Despite his track record, I find it difficult to recommend him.
How to Watch the Prince of Wales Stakes
What Prince of Wales Stakes Location Fort Erie Time Tuesday, September 13 — 5: 35 pm Eastern time How to Watch TVG Purse $400,000